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Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in November?

62.0%

Growth/RecessionKalshiVol 1kResolves 2026-12-04 (77d)

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More in Growth/Recession

US recession by end of 2026?8.5%

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Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?89.5%

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Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?7.1%

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Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?8.8%

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When will the next U.S. recession start?3.1%

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Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?0.9%

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