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When will the next U.S. recession start?

0.1%

Growth/RecessionKalshiVol 131kResolves 2026-12-31 (149d)

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More in Growth/Recession

US recession by end of 2026?9.0%

Polymarket·Vol 1.7M·in 180d

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?86.5%

Polymarket·Vol 215k·2026-01-31

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?6.8%

Polymarket·Vol 199k·2026-01-10

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?9.6%

Polymarket·Vol 122k·2026-01-10

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?0.1%

Polymarket·Vol 115k·2026-01-31

Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in July?8.0%

Kalshi·Vol 83k·in 3d