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When will the next U.S. recession start?

3.1%

Growth/RecessionKalshiVol 131kResolves 2026-12-31 (104d)

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More in Growth/Recession

US recession by end of 2026?8.5%

Polymarket·Vol 2.0M·in 135d

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?89.5%

Polymarket·Vol 224k·in 135d

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?7.1%

Polymarket·Vol 206k·in 136d

Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?8.8%

Polymarket·Vol 142k·in 136d

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?0.9%

Polymarket·Vol 118k·in 135d

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?0.1%

Polymarket·Vol 88k·in 135d