Market Map
Two views of where volume and conviction sit across the board - biggest markets by size, and where the crowd is genuinely undecided.
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Market uncertainty573 markets
How contested the board is - share of trading weight sitting near 50/50. Higher means the crowd is genuinely undecided across the markets that matter.
Biggest markets by volume
The largest markets by volume (top 45), grouped by theme. Larger tiles trade more; brighter tiles carry a higher implied probability.
Tile size = volume
Implied probability
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Conviction scatter
Most macro markets are priced near a yes or a no. The ones sitting high in the middle band are where real money disagrees.
Top movers (7 days)
Biggest probability moves over the past week, from Kalshi and Polymarket price history.
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