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Fed lower bound ≤0.5% before 2027

1.8%

Rates/FedPolymarketVol 107kResolves 2026-12-31 (104d)

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No Fed rate cuts in 202695.0%

Polymarket·Vol 8.4M·in 104d

11 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 5.3M·in 104d

10 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 5.0M·in 104d

9 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.3M·in 104d

6 Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.2M·in 104d

12+ Fed rate cuts in 20260.1%

Polymarket·Vol 4.0M·in 104d